"The US economy is crumbling because the way we conduct the activities of
daily life is insane relative to our circumstances. We've spent sixty years
ramping
up a suburban living arrangement that has suddenly entered a state of failure,
and all its accessories and furnishings are failing in concert. The far-flung
McHouse tracts are becoming both useless and worthless in the face of gasoline
prices that will never be cheap again. The strip malls and office "parks" are
following the residential real estate off a cliff. The retail tenants of all
those places are hemorrhaging customers who have maxed out every last credit
card. The lack of business is now leading to substantial layoffs. The airline
industry is dying and will probably cease to exist in its familiar form in
24 months. The trucking industry is dying, threatening the entire just-in-time
distribution system of things that even people with little money to spend still
need, like food.
These conditions will now get a lot worse, no matter whether the banks continue
to conceal their problems. All of it leads to an inflection point that coincides
with the November election. By then, I expect that quite a few banks will be
toast, job layoffs will rise spectacularly, foreclosures and bankruptcies will
be raging across the land, and homeowners north of the magnolia belt will be
shattered by the cost of staying warm this winter." - James Howard Kunstler
